Florida could see above-average rainfall during the 2026-27 winter season, according to NOAA’s Winter Outlook.
The outlook covers December through February and attributes the wetter forecast to a strong El Niño pattern. NOAA says the pattern is expected to shift the jet stream farther south, a setup associated with increased rainfall across Florida.
For Walt Disney World visitors and other Florida travelers planning winter trips, the outlook is a seasonal forecast rather than a day-by-day prediction. It indicates the potential for a wetter-than-usual three-month period, not that rain will fall continuously throughout the season.